What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Before 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 13 Open interest 22.7K Event Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

implied YES probability

+2.1pp 24h

Last 40 days · High 7% · Low 2% · 7d -41.7pp · 30d -44.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.