What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Before September 2026

Closes Sep 01, 2026 (75d) 24h volume 101 Open interest 3.6K Event Grand Theft Auto VI: New trailer release date

84%

implied YES probability

Last 31 days · High 93% · Low 76% · 7d -10.2pp · 30d -9.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.