What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Arch Manning

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 1.7K Open interest 131.9K Event College Football Heisman Trophy Winner

12%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 80 days · High 16% · Low 9% · 7d -14.3pp · 30d 0.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 12.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.