What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Jarrett Keohokalole

Closes Aug 08, 2027 (417d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 921 Event HI-01 Democratic nominee?

28%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 19 days · High 37% · Low 23% · 7d +6.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.