What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Hottest ever

Closes Jul 16, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 1.2K Open interest 4.3K Event This Jun 2026 is the hottest June ever?

implied YES probability

Last 21 days · High 28% · Low 6% · 7d -53.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.