What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

1.02999 or below

Closes Jul 16, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 697 Event Jun 2026 temperature increase?

12%

implied YES probability

Last 8 days · High 29% · Low 11% · 7d -62.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.