What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 28, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 27.7 million

Closes Aug 28, 2026 (72d) 24h volume 6.2K Open interest 2.6K Event Robinhood funded customers in Q2

98%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 99% · Low 74% · 7d +7.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.