What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Above 4

Closes Dec 02, 2026 (168d) 24h volume — Open interest 2.7K Event How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

78%

implied YES probability

Last 46 days · High 96% · Low 62% · 7d -2.5pp · 30d -7.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.