What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 05, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Diego Morales

Closes May 05, 2027 (322d) 24h volume 759 Open interest 8.5K Event Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?

13%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 74 days · High 99% · Low 2% · 7d +205.6pp · 30d -79.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.