What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 7750

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 2.4K Open interest 4.6K Event How high will the S&P get by month-end?

14%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 23% · Low 5% · 7d -36.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.