What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Positive Growth

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (197d) 24h volume 1.9K Open interest 418.4K Event Will the S&P finish positive this year?

80%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 82% · Low 47% · 7d +9.6pp · 30d +14.3pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 69.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.