What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Real Madrid

Closes Oct 09, 2026 (114d) 24h volume 2.1K Open interest 5.6K Event Bernardo Silva: Next Club

98%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 95% · Low 3%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.