What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 48%, implying a 48% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

At least 9 days

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 143 Open interest 161 Event Ariana Grande: Days at #1 on Spotify Daily Top Songs Global in July 2026

48%

implied YES probability

Last 4 days · High 50% · Low 40%

GTLS Chart Industries, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.