What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Randall Arrington

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 11 Open interest 3.1K Event LA-01 Republican nominee?

implied YES probability

Last 18 days · High 10% · Low 0% · 7d +415.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.