What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 74%, implying a 74% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

At least 65%

Closes Dec 31, 2027 (539d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 185 Event Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

74%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 81% · Low 67%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.