What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

National Alliance

Closes Dec 31, 2027 (562d) 24h volume 100 Open interest 435 Event Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?

11%

implied YES probability

Last 4 days · High 16% · Low 10%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.