What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 76%, implying a 76% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Above 14

Closes Aug 07, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 626 Open interest 373 Event Total space launches in July

76%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 80% · Low 79%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.