What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Before the start of the 2026-27 regular season

Closes Oct 31, 2026 (136d) 24h volume 4.8K Open interest 330.8K Event LeBron James to Announce his Retirement Before the 2026-27 Season

14%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 89 days · High 35% · Low 10% · 7d -11.8pp · 30d -6.2pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 16.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.