What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Martha

Closes Jul 11, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 1.3K Open interest 774 Event Love Island UK Week 6: Elimination

12%

implied YES probability

-86.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 62% · Low 42%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.