What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 20, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Ellie

Closes Jun 20, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 344 Open interest 23 Event Love Island UK S13: Week 3 elimination

14%

implied YES probability

-34.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 49% · Low 15%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.