What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Melanie and Sincere

Closes Sep 07, 2026 (82d) 24h volume 14.3K Open interest 56.7K Event Love Island USA S8: Winning couple

14%

implied YES probability

+9.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 49% · Low 1% · 7d +375.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 5.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.