What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Gabriel

Closes Aug 31, 2026 (74d) 24h volume 527 Open interest 5.5K Event Love Island USA S8: Winners

implied YES probability

Last 18 days · High 15% · Low 2% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.