What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Tierra and KC

Closes Aug 31, 2026 (52d) 24h volume 18.4K Open interest 51.0K Event Love Island USA S8: 2nd place couple

13%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 63% · Low 1% · 7d +175.0pp

Spread 3.0¢ · Mid 18.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.