What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 31%, implying a 31% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

60° to 61°

Closes Jun 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 693 Open interest 417 Event Lowest temperature in New York City on Jun 17, 2026?

31%

implied YES probability

+35.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.