What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 37%, implying a 37% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above $231

Closes Aug 21, 2026 (43d) 24h volume 15 Open interest 934 Event Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q2

37%

implied YES probability

+8.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 56% · Low 35% · 7d -27.1pp

LUV Southwest Airlines Co.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.