What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 58 million

Closes Aug 21, 2026 (65d) 24h volume 6 Open interest 2.2K Event Southwest Airlines Company seats flown in Q2 2026

84%

implied YES probability

-7.0pp 24h

Last 35 days · High 89% · Low 56% · 7d -9.0pp · 30d +20.9pp

LUV Southwest Airlines Co.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.