What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

China / Chinese

Closes Jul 09, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 1.9K Open interest 1.8K Event What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street?

50%

implied YES probability

+99.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 58% · Low 58%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.