What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Valdez wins, Lander wins, Chevalier loses

Closes Oct 31, 2026 (136d) 24h volume 20 Event Mamdani primary endorsements combo

30%

implied YES probability

+31.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.