What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 94%, implying a 94% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Dan Schwartz

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 291 Open interest 350 Event MD-01 Democratic nominee?

94%

implied YES probability

Last 7 days · High 96% · Low 89%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.