What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Glenn Ivey

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 24 Open interest 328 Event MD-04 Democratic nominee?

96%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 98% · Low 95%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.