What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Matthew Dunlap

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 293 Open interest 6.7K Event ME-02 Democratic nominee?

44%

implied YES probability

+55.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 79% · Low 6% · 7d +768.1pp · 30d +203.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.