What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 76000

Closes Sep 30, 2026 (82d) 24h volume 17 Open interest 1.9K Event Meta headcount in Q2

44%

implied YES probability

-8.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 75% · Low 47% · 7d -20.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.