What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 51%, implying a 51% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Republicans, 2+ pts

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 36 Open interest 599 Event Iowa Senate margin of victory

51%

implied YES probability

+7.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 64% · Low 51% · 7d -12.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.