What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Republicans, 19+ pts

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 105 Event Indiana's 4th District margin of victory

80%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 80% · Low 73%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.