What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Democrats, 21+ pts

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 10 Event Maine Governor margin of victory

13%

implied YES probability

+4.4pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 12% · Low 8%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.