What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Democrats, 5+ pts

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 189 Open interest 189 Event Michigan's 10th District margin of victory

50%

implied YES probability

+48.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 48% · Low 48%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.