What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Democrats, 54+ pts

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 28 Open interest 28 Event New York's 12th District margin of victory

96%

implied YES probability

+93.4pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 93% · Low 93%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.