What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 65%, implying a 65% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Bryce Harper

Closes Jul 14, 2026 (4d) 24h volume 3.0K Open interest 3.0K Event Pro Baseball Home Run Derby Selections

65%

implied YES probability

+76.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 77% · Low 52%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.