What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 52%, implying a 52% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Miguel Vargas: 2+

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 8.8K Open interest 8.7K Event Boston vs Chicago WS: Hits + Runs + RBIs

52%

implied YES probability

+20.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.