What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Shohei Ohtani

Closes Dec 08, 2026 (174d) 24h volume 16.0K Open interest 115.5K Event NL MVP Winner?

84%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 84 days · High 87% · Low 42% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d +27.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.