What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Grok

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 9 Open interest 11.7K Event Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

implied YES probability

Last 26 days · High 14% · Low 3% · 7d +266.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.