What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 76%, implying a 76% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Hartzell Gray 3rd

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 222 Open interest 1.3K Event MO-04 Democratic nominee?

76%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 80% · Low 57% · 7d +7.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.