What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 66%, implying a 66% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Chris Stigall

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 23 Open interest 2.3K Event MO-06 Republican nominee?

66%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 69% · Low 68%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.