What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above $250M

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (174d) 24h volume 107 Open interest 4.1K Event Most expensive auction work sold in 2026

20%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 30 days · High 60% · Low 15% · 7d -26.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.