What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Before Dec 18, 2026

Closes Dec 18, 2026 (183d) 24h volume 944 Open interest 14.0K Event Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?

28%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 39% · Low 16% · 7d +17.4pp · 30d +22.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.