What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 72%, implying a 72% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Above 4

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (167d) 24h volume 395 Open interest 950 Event How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year?

72%

implied YES probability

+28.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 76% · Low 27%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.