What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Kyle Larson

Closes Nov 15, 2026 (128d) 24h volume 3.4K Open interest 120.3K Event NASCAR Cup Series Champion

implied YES probability

Last 55 days · High 13% · Low 5% · 7d -53.8pp · 30d -25.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 11.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.