What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Chase Elliott

Closes Jul 06, 2026 (18d) 24h volume 3.1K Open interest 4.0K Event Andruil 250 Winner

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 4% · Low 3%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.