What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Austin Dillon

Closes Aug 10, 2026 (31d) 24h volume 1.7K Open interest 1.8K Event NASCAR Quaker State 400 Available at Walmart: Top 10 Finishers

20%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 21% · Low 20%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.