What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

25,249.86 or above

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 189 Open interest 59.4K Event Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?

78%

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 83% · Low 37% · 7d +5.1pp · 30d +3.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.